If they haven't done it already Week 4 might be The Bills coming out party. 9.5 points doesn't look big enough for a 3-0 team playing the worst team in the league. The Rams are in turmoil with Trent Green getting the start and Stephen Jackson crying about that and everything else. This could be the game that the ball control, no turnover offense lets loose. Watch out for Marshawn Lynch to tear up the Rams run defense, who haven't been able to stop anyone this year. I would say jump on the Bills win, but I never suggest taking anything less than 1.40.
One of the best looking ties this week is the Minnesota/Tennessee game. Both teams have top-ranked defenses, which always makes for a good Proline tie. The Vikings are battling to get back into contention in the NFC North so they will play hard. The one thing that scares me is that the Titans play real well at home, so there is a possibility they run away with this game.
Also take a look at playing a tie in the Baltimore/Pittsburgh and the Philly/Chicago game. All four teams have good defenses, which should keep the scores low and the games close.
I have already read and heard a few experts saying the spread in the Dallas game is too big. I tend to think the same. This is a divisional game involving a Washington team that doesn't look too bad this year. They should be able to keep it within 10. One of the best comments I saw supporting this idea was that Jason Campbell and the Redskins are a plus 5 in turnovers and are protecting the ball nicely. If they can win the turnover battle they should stay within 10.
Some other things to think about:
Arizona is probably a better team than the Jets, so that 2.60 looks nice.
All the odds in the Bucs/Packers game are above 2. This make it an interesting game to bet on.
There are too many 1.3 and 1.4 odds this week, which make me believe Point Spread is the best way to go.
Considering this, my ticket this week will be:
Point Spread 4 teams pays 10-1
4V Arizona
8V Green Bay
9V Buffalo
11V Washington
($10 makes a nice $100 ticket)
Good luck with your picks...
db
